China
China’s central bank issues statement on RMB exchange rate outlook
By Ge Mengchao, People’s Daily
As a key financial indicator, the renminbi (RMB) exchange rate has drawn considerable attention from investors, policymakers, and market participants worldwide. On Oct. 8, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) issued a comprehensive statement clarifying its official stance on the currency’s trajectory.
The statement reaffirms that China operates under a managed floating exchange rate regime, anchored in market supply and demand while referencing a basket of foreign currencies. Under this framework, market forces play a decisive role in determining the RMB exchange rate.
The system rests on three core principles: first, allowing market dynamics to guide exchange rate movements; second, prioritizing financial stability by mitigating excessive short-term volatility, particularly rapid depreciation; and third, enhancing the transparency of monetary and exchange rate policymaking.
Over the past two decades, the RMB has demonstrated resilience and steady performance relative to other major currencies. Since 2010, it has navigated multiple cycles of appreciation and depreciation, reflecting increased flexibility and more pronounced two-way volatility. Since 2025, the currency has continued to fluctuate within a reasonable equilibrium range, maintaining a stable, two-way movement with an overall trend of orderly appreciation.
Looking forward, the RMB exchange rate will be influenced by a complex mix of economic, monetary, and geopolitical factors, alongside ongoing global uncertainties. The PBOC emphasized that China’s trade expansion stems from enhanced industrial competitiveness and supply chain efficiency, not currency manipulation. China has neither the need nor the intention to pursue competitive devaluation, a practice it has never adopted.
Historical data further indicates that past RMB appreciation did not hinder China’s trade expansion, while depreciation did not automatically translate into higher export volumes. Notably, Chinese trade flows have grown increasingly insulated from exchange rate swings — a significant structural shift underscoring the economy’s deepening maturity.
As a responsible participant in the global economy, China has consistently rejected the use of competitive currency depreciation to counter external pressures. Moreover, given the sheer size of today’s global foreign exchange market, sustained unilateral intervention would be impractical and ineffective.
Exchange rate dynamics are driven by a number of factors including economic growth, monetary policy, financial markets, geopolitical developments, and unforeseen shocks. Crucially, there is no direct or mechanical correlation between exchange rate levels and current account balances.
Global imbalances, the PBOC noted, are deeply intertwined with shifting global division of labor, inherent flaws in the international monetary system, and persistently high fiscal deficit and high consumption in some countries. Addressing global imbalances requires collective actions from all stakeholders.
Blaming trading partners for domestic competitiveness gaps, fiscal mismanagement, or structural weaknesses merely deflects responsibility and delays necessary domestic reforms.
Historically, leading industrial countries have all experienced periods of current account surpluses. The persistence of specific deficit patterns within the current monetary framework reflects systemic characteristics rather than temporary anomalies.
Declining trade competitiveness in some countries, more often than not, reflects their own structural problems. Each country should do its own homework by advancing structural reforms. Deficit countries should consolidate fiscal positions, raise domestic savings rates, and strengthen industrial competitiveness, while surplus countries should boost consumption and investment.
China has long been a contributor to global economic rebalancing. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), China will stay the course in transforming its economic growth model, expand domestic demand, improve the business environment, deepen high-standard opening-up, and pursue a more open, inclusive and balanced global economy.
China
China leverages electric vehicles to stabilize the power grid
By Ouyang Minggao
A global energy revolution is underway, centered on replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy and gasoline and diesel vehicles with electric vehicles (EVs). China is spearheading this shift, and developing a new power system integrating source, grid, load, and storage is an inevitable path forward.
As the stock of new energy vehicles climbs toward the 100-million mark, massive numbers of EVs will transcend their traditional role as transportation tools. They are emerging as a critical component of the next-generation power infrastructure.
China is expected to have 110 million to 160 million EVs on the road by 2030, with the number projected to rise to 300 million to 400 million by 2040. As ultra-fast charging networks expand, the strain of synchronized charging on local grids is becoming increasingly apparent.
For instance, if 5 million EVs were to charge simultaneously overnight at 10 kW each, the resulting demand — 50 million kW — would far exceed the peak capacity of most municipal grids.
Shifting EV charging from unmanaged, decentralized charging to coordinated, bidirectional energy flow, is therefore crucial. The key lies in enabling vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology, which allows EVs to interact dynamically with the power network.
At its core, V2G transforms EVs from passive grid consumers into active, mobile energy storage units. Vehicles can draw power during off-peak hours and feed electricity back into the grid during periods of high demand.
This not only alleviates grid congestion but also creates new revenue streams for owners who participate in wholesale energy markets.
With an average 70-kWh battery pack, leveraging surplus cycling capacity for grid services could generate cumulative lifetime returns of 15,000 to 75,000 yuan ($2,240 to $11,198). In effect, EVs are shifting from depreciating consumer products to income-generating assets.
Battery life and safety are among the public’s major concerns. Research shows that properly managed V2G operations do not accelerate battery degradation; on the contrary, they can help extend battery calendar life.
Current lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries used in EVs can undergo about 3,000 full charge-discharge cycles before their capacity falls to 70 percent. Yet a typical household vehicle consumes only about 500 cycles over 10 to 15 years of use, leaving substantial capacity for additional applications.
Technologies such as bidirectional pulsing can achieve more uniform lithium distribution, suppress lithium plating, and boost fast-charging and low-temperature performance. Meanwhile, V2G operation keeps batteries mostly at a partial state of charge. This prevents calendar-life degradation caused by long-term storage at full charge. When paired with intelligent risk monitoring, these systems effectively minimize safety incidents.
V2G applications have already taken shape in three typical scenarios.
The first is the “point” scenario in industrial parks, where vehicle batteries operate in coordination with photovoltaic generation and energy storage facilities.
The second is the “line” scenario in transportation, where integrated solar-storage-charging systems and batteries used for swapping at heavy-truck stations can supply power to passenger vehicles, reducing the impact on the main power grid.
The third is the “area” scenario in buildings, where integrated “home-vehicle-grid” systems enable comprehensive management of building energy use and V2G operations.
Looking ahead, V2G is expected to become a major form of distributed short-duration energy storage in China. Given that high-rise buildings dominate China’s urban landscape and that conditions for installing fixed energy storage systems at home are limited, using EVs parked in underground garages for energy storage is a more practical option.
Under China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) for the development of the new type of power system, the aggregate adjustable charging capacity enabled by V2G is expected to reach 50 million kilowatts by 2030. By 2040, as the growth of fixed energy storage slows, V2G energy storage capacity could exceed 4 billion kilowatt-hours.
Conservatively estimated, the total battery capacity of 350 million EVs will reach 25 billion kilowatt-hours by 2050, enough to meet the country’s electricity demand for one day in an emergency.
The next five years will be a launch phase for the V2G industry. As technical standards are improved, market mechanisms are put in place and business models mature, more than 100 million EVs will effectively form a vast network of “mobile power banks” for the grid, providing strong support for energy transition.
(Ouyang Minggao is an academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and a professor at Tsinghua University. The article was compiled by People’s Daily journalist Wang Zheng.)
China
A continuously innovating China is a land of opportunity
By Cheng Sen
Chinese brands are increasingly capturing global attention in the consumer electronics sector.
Early this September, they took center stage at IFA Berlin, the world’s leading consumer electronics trade show. On display were Chinese humanoid robots advancing into real-world application scenarios and smart home products featuring proactive sensing and collaborative AI services.
Not long ago, the smartphone industry saw a “super release week” for foldable phones. Huawei, Xiaomi, and Apple unveiled their respective flagship products within 72 hours, putting leading Chinese and international brands against each other in the same product category and sparking widespread discussion.
Such moments are no longer outliers; they reflect a broader industrial shift.
Decades ago, China’s manufacturing base was comparatively underdeveloped. Across many sectors, the country started late, trailing global leaders in advanced technologies, standard-setting influence, and even foundational design concepts.
Its early path forward relied heavily on imitation and incremental improvement. Today, that narrative has reversed. From artificial intelligence and new energy vehicles to robotics and aerospace reusability, China now competes on equal footing — or leads — in numerous domains. In previously uncharted territories, it has emerged as both a pioneer and a rule-maker.
These breakthroughs stem from the cumulative power of scientific and technological innovation. Take the smartphone industry as an example. Ultimately, it is exclusive cutting-edge technologies that have empowered Chinese brands to march into the high-end market. Breaking free from the lower rungs of industrial and value chains represents an arduous uphill growth, as well as the continuous forging of brand competitiveness and technological “moats.”
None of this would have been possible without a highly coordinated innovation ecosystem.
The numbers tell a clear story. The World Intellectual Property Organization recently released its report on the world’s top 100 innovation clusters as part of the Global Innovation Index 2026. China is home to 25 of the world’s top 100 innovation clusters, the largest number for the fourth consecutive year. The Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou cluster ranked first for the second consecutive year. As a cornerstone of China’s national innovation ecosystem, these regional innovation clusters reflect the steady growth of China’s capacity for scientific and technological innovation.
Progress is driven by clear strategic priorities: state support for sci-tech advancement, the cultivation of advanced, locally adapted industrial capabilities, and targeted policy incentives.
Equally important is the sheer scale and dynamism of the country’s domestic market, which generates rich application scenarios for iterative testing and commercialization.
Underpinning both is a deepening talent pool, fueled by tighter integration across education, research, and industry — a virtuous cycle that continually upgrades the quality and distribution of skilled professionals.
All these ground-laying efforts nurture sparks of innovation and creativity, unleashing momentum for high-quality development.
Yet a clearer understanding of how China’s innovation-driven model works also makes it harder to sustain certain misconceptions.
For years, some policymakers and media outlets have amplified warnings about a so-called “China Shock 2.0,” attributing China’s progress in high-end manufacturing to industrial subsidies and stoking anxiety in the process.
In practice, as one international observer noted, China operates like “the world’s toughest gym.” Competition and innovation are embedded in its development model. Rather than delivering a disruptive “shock,” China’s progress expands global opportunities; rather than displacing foreign competitors, it often creates new markets and capabilities.
The evidence is mounting. Volkswagen has adjusted its R&D plans at its headquarters in Wolfsburg based on the model of its R&D center in Hefei, east China’s Anhui province. Chinese AI models have ranked first for 20 consecutive weeks in terms of weekly global usage among large AI models.
As a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation converges with China’s historic transition in its development model, China is pressing ahead with innovation and working to build itself into a global source of scientific and technological innovation. With such fertile ground for development, China is set to continue surprising the world with innovation.
China
What makes China’s market so uniquely valuable?
By Yu Xuan, People’s Daily
In today’s global economy, robust domestic markets are among the most scarce and sought-after resources. Investors increasingly regard China’s market as a rare asset — even among rare assets.
What sets it apart? A single word offers a useful starting point: stability.
This stability is most visible in the quiet continuity of everyday life. Two comparisons help clarify why.
First, the contrast with other major economies. As inflation has risen significantly in major developed economies, with prices still surging and the cost of basic necessities putting growing pressure on household budgets, Chinese consumers have continued to enjoy relatively affordable essentials. Official data supports this observation: China’s consumer price index rose 0.8 percent year on year in August, a modest increase that underscores the steady rhythm of daily life for ordinary citizens.
Second, the shift from past vulnerabilities to present resilience. There was a time when summer power outages and factory shutdowns were a major concern. Today, power rationing has become a rare sight. In August, China’s total electricity consumption once again exceeded 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, with power demand reaching a record high. Yet cities continued to function smoothly, and homes remained brightly lit as usual.
This reliability stems from a modernized, multi-layered energy infrastructure. From ultra-high-voltage transmission corridors and rural distribution networks to integrated urban microgrids, China’s power system seamlessly blends conventional thermal generation with wind, hydro, and solar sources. The result is a resilient grid that keeps economic and social activities running smoothly.
In a world marked by sluggish recoveries, geopolitical tensions, and volatile energy prices, such stability carries immense value. It provides a rare anchor of predictability.
Notably, the International Monetary Fund recently revised its global growth forecast downward by 0.1 percentage points for the year, while raising its projection for China’s growth by 0.2 percentage points. This divergence reflects growing confidence in China’s economic resilience — and helps explain why international investors are steadily increasing their capital commitments.
Where does this stability come from? The institutional strengths of China’s system serve as its anchor.
Consider the example of Dadukou district in southwest China’s Chongqing municipality. Once known for its vast steel industry, the district faced a key question after the relocation of Chongqing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.: how could it build new industries to replace the old? Drawing on its existing strengths, the district made a strategic decision to develop the motorcycle industry.
The market and the government have worked in tandem. Under expedited regulatory approvals, Qianjiang Motorcycle Group moved into its new smart manufacturing facility as soon as construction was completed. Today, components supplied by Qiutian Gear are used in one out of every five motorcycles manufactured globally, while Lide Industry commands nearly half of China’s domestic clutch market.
Sound industrial planning, targeted policy support and continuously improving services have helped establish a well-integrated industrial ecosystem within a 15-minute radius in the city.
Balancing dynamism with order is essential. With more than 350 companies competing in the same industry, how can the market remain vibrant without descending into disorder? The key lies in close coordination across the industrial chain and differentiated competition.
Companies carve out specialized market niches while extending and strengthening the industrial chain, fostering closer integration between manufacturing and consumption, and between industry and tourism.
From January to August this year, the industrial output of enterprises above the designated size in Dadukou district’s high-end motorcycle sector grew 27 percent year on year. Motorcycle manufacturing, riding, and motorsports events have all become part of the district’s identity, demonstrating how to give the market room to thrive while ensuring effective regulation.
“Combining an efficient market with a well-functioning government” is not only a distinctive strength of China’s socialist market economy, but also a key principle for economic and social development during the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030). By continuing to improve macroeconomic governance, upgrade traditional industries, expand emerging industries, and plan ahead for future industries, China will further strengthen the certainty and distinctive appeal of its market.
The stability of China’s economy is not static. It is a high-level dynamic equilibrium maintained as the economy continues to advance. Behind it lie strategic resolve and a proactive approach to shaping the country’s future.
“It’s not venture capital, but industrial investment; not gambling, but striving,” said an official in Hefei, east China’s Anhui province, who remains clear-headed despite the praise the city has received for its investment success.
High returns on industrial investment are only the visible results. The underlying strengths lie in a more fundamental approach: adapting to local conditions, making decisions based on sound analysis, and taking a long-term view.
Instead of chasing every fleeting trend in a frenzy, China stays focused on innovation within chosen sectors. Instead of faltering amid headwinds, it stays anchored to the goal of fostering new quality productive forces. Instead of fixating merely on tangible, immediate gains, it devotes more to laying the groundwork for long-term returns.
This poised mindset, balancing strategic steadiness with tactical agility, embodies the Communist Party of China’s view on political achievements and development. It grows from a forward-evolving governance system, manifests in the tireless endeavors of hundreds of millions of market entities, and quietly shapes people’s steady expectations of Chinese modernization. Such confidence in the path forms the bedrock for China’s sustained and sound economic growth.
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