News
2023: How Tinubu May Still Win Election

***His subterranean Refuge, And the worst Case Scenario.
***Worries Over Likely Reactions Worry Govt.
***Candidates’ Strength By States Projection
By: Politics Editor
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Presidential standard bearer of the All Progressives Congress, APC, is always confident of being the next President, no matter what people say about his chances.
While keeping his game plans close to his chest, he tells all those that care to listen, that, all the other candidates are wasting their times.
Even when people dismiss it as empty boast,Tinubu never hides his confidence in the face of occasional gaffes.
There were Political permutations recently that actually predict a likely Tinubu Presidency in the next elections due to certain subterranean factors.
Although analysts predict a runoff election in the 2023 Presidential elections, they failed to narrow down on the two likely contenders in the event of that.
They mostly argue that, in the checkered history of Nigeria’s democracy, the 2023 Presidential elections could be the most keenly contested and perhaps most difficult to predict it’s outcome.
The situation apllies in many states for the Governorship and legislative elections, in the face of the waning influence of Governors under the new electoral act.
These are coming against emerging violent trends and fears of a likely reaction by the youths who prefer another candidate, other than Tinubu.
The electoral umpire has given assurances that the elections will turn out to be the best in Nigeria’s history, but did not fail to express worries over certain violent trends, even with a peace treaty in place: signed by all parties.
The Inspector General of Police, Alkali Baba has repeatedly warned against violence and assured if police preparedness to ensure violent free polls.
National Trail has been investigating the likely factors that could shape and reshape the elections, and the likely reactions that may trail the elections.
Investigations reveal that, outside the conventional parameters, including, the crowd at rallies, the manifestoes and the influence of perceived seasoned political players, the elections may be determined by other factors.
Although our findings reveal that, 2023 Presidential election favours the candidate of the All Progressives Congress, APC, Bola Ahmed Tinubu: the other candidates may characteristically kick. The outcome is without recourse to the perceived minuses against Tinubu, including the many controversies docking his candidature and the dismal performance of the APC administration under Muhammadu Buhari.
We found out that, it could have been anybody’s game, if the crowd at the rallies of the political parties is the only yardstick, as reports indicate difficulty in telling which party pulled the largest crowd and which crowd is genuine or rented.
The crowd at each of the rallies of all the parties have been almost overwhelming.
In the same way, if party manifestos are to be the determinant of who wins: it will be impossible to say which of the documents could give victory: as each of the parties parade beautifully crafted manifestos for their standard bearers; laced in the best of political languages.
If big names could win elections, the caliber of politicians on board the campaign councils of each of the political parties also make it too close to call, as each one of them parade seasoned strategists.
The commonality of what seems to give political parties a semblance of acceptance makes predictions dicey, but our correspondents’ findings reveal that , outside the conventionally known factors that sway elections, political opinion is being shaped and reshaped by other subterranean factors.
To this end, most electorates seem to have formed their opinions to the effect that their positions remain sacrosanct untill the elections.
To this end,the sentiments that brought President Muhammadu Buhari of the ruling All Progressives Congress, APC, into power in 2015, are still prevalent, and most people still prefer the APC, irrespective of the candidate on the ballot this time around.
While it may be a truism that both the People’s Democratic Party, PDP and the APC, for example, have had their turns in government and Nigerians have the opportunity to rate their performances: the APC is more likely to take the day, given the power and resources at its disposal.
Former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar of the PDP and Peter Obi of Labour party, may have large financial war chests, but their individual resources may not be a match to the state resources available to Bola Ahmed Tinubu and his party the APC.
This is against the background that, APC could could deploy all instruments of coercion as well as resources available to it, to ensure it retains power.
Again, unlike the PDP, the fighting spirit of the APC is such that, it never says die, and the party may fight to finish.
Against arguments in some quarters that, with the likes of Dino Melaye and Daniel Bwala, as arrowheads of the PDP propaganda:having been part of the APC machinery, not even the compliments by Charles Aniagwu: an authority in propaganda; may alter things, as the APC seems to have already created a narrative, which the PDP is fighting hard to deconstruct before the elections.
Of course, each party have created narratives based on religion, tribe and region, all of which seem to have assumed lives of their own in the political narrative, and these factors may also sway the votes in favour of Tinubu.
Findings reveal that, barring any changes to the current mood, Bola Ahmed Tinubu has the upper hand in Borno, Yobe, Jigawa, Katsina, Kaduna, Zamfara, Kebbi, Niger, Kwara, Kogi, Nasarawa, Lagos, Ondo, Ogun, Osun, Ekiti, Rivers and Gombe states.
Atiku Abubakar is likely to take Adamawa, Taraba, Benue, Bauchi, Plateau, Sokoto,Bayelsa, Edo, Oyo, Osun, CrossRivers, Delta, while Peter Obi is more likely to pocket, Anambra, Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi, the FCT, and Abia states, and Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso will escape with Kano in his kitty.
These projections were based on the strength if the parties and the mood of citizens in the build up to the elections.
While Tinubu May dominate in the states listed as his stronghold, he is more likely to score the requisite 25% in states like Bauchi, Sokoto, Kano, Plateau, FCT, Oyo, Osun, Taraba, Ebonyi, Imo, Abia and Edo states.
Atiku is likely to get 25% in almost all the states across the Federation, but may not get the majority votes, even as Peter Obi may come close to getting the majority votes, but may fail in getting the 25% requisite geographical votes.
With the indicators that Tinubu could win in the first round of votes, another curious angle is the likely run off between Atiku Abubakar and Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
In the event of any of the scenario above, the government must put in place measures that will safeguard the unity of Nigeria: most of our respondents admonish.
News
CSO Gives GUO Logistics 72-Hour Ultimatum Over Fatal Crash That Killed Five Passengers
A civil society organisation, Citizens for Good Governance, Rule of Law & Anti-Corruption Initiative, has issued a 72-hour ultimatum to GUO Logistics, demanding immediate engagement with the families of victims of a fatal road accident that reportedly claimed five lives and left several others critically injured.
The organisation, in a statement signed by its Director-General, Comr. Danesi Momoh Prince, expressed sorrow and outrage over the accident, which occurred at about 3:30 a.m. on August 28, 2026, involving a Toyota Hiace bus conveying more than 23 passengers from Gombe State to Lagos State.
According to the statement, the accident occurred after a truck reportedly belonging to GUO Logistics rammed into the passenger bus, resulting in the deaths of five persons, including students travelling to Lagos for their mandatory industrial training.
The deceased were identified as Isiyaku Sa’idu, Maigana Mohammed, popularly known as Abbati, Anas Abubakar, reportedly the driver of the bus, Zaiyanu Bajoga and Abubakar Ibrahim.
Describing the incident as devastating, the organisation said the victims were Nigerians pursuing education, employment and better opportunities, adding that the tragedy had cut short the dreams and aspirations of the deceased while leaving other passengers fighting for survival.
It called on GUO Logistics to demonstrate genuine concern for the victims and their families, warning that corporate reputation must not take precedence over human lives.
The group also expressed concern over allegations that efforts were being made to protect the company’s public image rather than adequately address the suffering of the victims and their families.
It consequently demanded that the management of GUO Logistics, within 72 hours, establish immediate contact with the families of the deceased and injured passengers through available passenger manifests, booking records and other travel documentation.
Other demands include urgent assistance for survivors, engagement with medical facilities to address their healthcare needs, and discussions with bereaved families on appropriate support and compensation in accordance with applicable laws and the outcome of investigations.
The organisation further demanded a public statement from the company outlining the steps being taken to address the incident, including an official communication channel through which affected families could seek assistance.
It also urged GUO Logistics to cooperate fully with relevant authorities investigating the circumstances surrounding the accident and ensure that all applicable legal responsibilities were addressed.
Clarifying the purpose of the ultimatum, the group said it was demanding immediate engagement and demonstrable humanitarian support, not the conclusion of a comprehensive accident investigation within three days.
The organisation warned that failure by the company to demonstrate meaningful engagement within the stipulated period could trigger nationwide mass picketing of its offices and operational facilities.
It said it would consider mobilising concerned citizens and relevant stakeholders for peaceful and lawful protests at GUO offices across the country, subject to applicable legal requirements.
The group also threatened to petition relevant regulatory and law enforcement authorities to ensure that the incident received the necessary attention.
While acknowledging that the precise circumstances of the accident and legal responsibility must be established through a thorough investigation, the organisation maintained that immediate humanitarian assistance to the survivors and their families should not be delayed.
It called on relevant government authorities, civil society organisations, student bodies and well-meaning Nigerians to support efforts to secure assistance for the injured and accountability for the lives lost.
The statement reaffirmed the organisation’s commitment to monitoring developments and engaging relevant stakeholders to ensure that the victims and their families were not forgotten.
“Our position is unequivocal: human lives must never be sacrificed at the altar of corporate reputation. The dead deserve dignity, the injured deserve urgent assistance, and the bereaved families deserve answers,” the statement said.
News
FG Borrowing Justified By Huge Investment In Infrastructure, Improvements in Security Sector – Opposition Rep Agbese
Hon. Philip Agbese, Labour Party leader in Benue State and member representing Ado/Okpokwu/Ogbadibo Federal Constituency, has strongly defended the Federal Government’s proposed $21.7 billion supplementary external borrowing plan.
According to Agbese, the funds are fully justified by the Tinubu administration’s massive investments in critical infrastructure and the gains recorded in the security sector.
The lawmaker described the borrowing as strategic financing for productive national assets rather than consumption spending.
Speaking against the backdrop of intense public debate over the 2026-2027 external borrowing proposal, the opposition figure argued that Nigerians must look beyond partisan lenses and assess the tangible returns already visible across roads, power, rail and defence.
He noted that the plan prioritises productive assets rather than consumption, aligning with the administration’s broader Renewed Hope agenda of rebuilding national capacity after years of underinvestment.
“This is not borrowing for the sake of borrowing. It is investment in the future of Nigeria,” Agbese stated.
“When you look at the allocation—over $10 billion for transport infrastructure alone, including the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway and key rail corridors—you see a government deliberately creating assets that will generate long-term economic value far exceeding the cost of the loans.”
He continued: “The same applies to the significant portion dedicated to defence and security. Any serious nation prioritises the safety of its citizens.
“The Federal Government is putting resources behind the men and women in uniform so they can finish the job against bandits, terrorists and kidnappers.”
Agbese further highlighted the administration’s track record of project delivery under the Ministry of Works, citing the accelerated completion of major sections of the Abuja-Kaduna-Zaria-Kano highway using durable concrete pavement, the commissioning of initial segments of the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, and hundreds of other road projects completed or advanced nationwide.
He pointed to parallel progress in the power sector, including approvals for East and West Super Grids aimed at raising transmission capacity dramatically, as evidence that borrowed funds are being channelled into real, visible development.
The lawmaker stressed that states and the Federal Capital Territory stand to benefit substantially from the package, with a sizeable share earmarked for subnational projects on largely concessional terms.
According to him, this structure ensures that the borrowing strengthens the federation rather than concentrating benefits solely at the centre.
“Look at what has been achieved in just over three years: major highways moving from paper to asphalt and concrete, rail lines advancing, and power infrastructure receiving the attention it has long been denied,” Agbese said.
“That is why the borrowing is justified. On security, the Armed Forces have recorded significant operational successes—neutralising thousands of terrorists and bandits, facilitating large-scale surrenders, and rescuing abducted citizens.
“Continued investment is necessary to consolidate these gains and expand the capacity of our security agencies,” he added.
Turning to the terms of the proposed financing, Agbese noted that a substantial portion comes from multilateral and bilateral partners at concessional rates, while commercial components remain competitive relative to previous market conditions.
He dismissed critics who focus solely on the headline figure without examining the quality of the underlying projects or the improved fiscal space created by earlier reforms such as subsidy removal.
The Benue lawmaker argued that opposition to the plan on purely political grounds ignores the infrastructure deficit inherited by the current administration and the urgent need to close it if Nigeria is to achieve sustainable growth and improved living standards.
He called on colleagues across party lines to prioritise national interest when the National Assembly considers the request.
“Every progressive country borrows to build. What matters is whether the money creates lasting assets and strengthens national security. On both counts, this plan passes the test,” Agbese declared.
“We in the opposition must be honest enough to acknowledge progress where it exists. The people of Ado, Okpokwu and Ogbadibo, like Nigerians everywhere, want better roads, reliable power and safer communities.
“The Federal Government is taking concrete steps in that direction, and supporting the necessary financing is the responsible thing to do,” he concluded.
News
Usoro Wins FG Award for Excellence in Corporate Governance
The Federal Government has honoured the Executive Chairman of Miden Systems Limited, Dr. Brendan Innocent Usoro, with the Excellence in Corporate Governance and Business Integrity Award for his commitment to ethical leadership, transparency and business development.
Usoro received the award on Wednesday at the Nigerian Press Council (NPC) National Summit on Curbing Fake News and Misinformation in the Nigerian Media Space, held at NICON Luxury Hotel, Abuja.
The summit, organised by the Nigerian Press Council under the Federal Ministry of Information and National Orientation, brought together media practitioners, policymakers, government officials, corporate executives, security agencies and other stakeholders to discuss strategies for combating misinformation and strengthening responsible journalism.
The award recognised Usoro’s contributions to corporate governance and responsible business practices, alongside other distinguished Nigerians honoured for their achievements in leadership, public service and professional excellence.
Speaking at the event, Usoro warned that fake news and misinformation had become serious threats to national security, democratic stability, business confidence and peaceful coexistence, particularly as Nigeria approaches the 2027 general elections.
He expressed concern over the growing use of artificial intelligence to generate fabricated audio recordings, manipulate videos and produce misleading reports, noting that such developments had made it increasingly difficult for the public to distinguish credible information from deliberate falsehoods.
According to him, the misuse of artificial intelligence for disinformation requires a coordinated response involving government institutions, media organisations, technology companies and citizens.
Usoro observed that misinformation had extended beyond political campaigns and electoral activities to become a tool for damaging reputations, undermining businesses and creating unnecessary tension in society.
“People use false information to de-market their political opponents, competitors’ products and services, as well as create tension in the polity,” he said.
He warned that the consequences could be far-reaching, including the erosion of public trust, the escalation of ethnic and religious tensions, and the manipulation of citizens’ democratic choices.
The Miden Systems chairman also raised concerns about the potential impact of deepfake technology and coordinated online disinformation campaigns on public confidence in political leaders and democratic institutions ahead of the 2027 elections.
On the business implications of misinformation, Usoro disclosed that Miden Systems Limited had experienced what he described as the damaging effects of false information.
He alleged that the company and its executives had been targeted following a financial dispute with a commercial bank, highlighting the potential consequences of misinformation for corporate reputation and business operations.
To address the challenge, Usoro urged Nigerians to verify information before sharing it, particularly sensational messages, photographs and videos circulated on social media platforms.
He recommended the use of independent fact-checking organisations, including Dubawa, to establish the authenticity of reports before they are disseminated.
He also called for improved training for journalists and fact-checkers, as well as greater access to artificial intelligence-assisted verification tools to help identify and debunk false information more quickly.
Usoro further urged technology companies and relevant regulatory agencies, including the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA) and the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), to strengthen collaboration against malicious synthetic media.
He, however, stressed that efforts to combat misinformation must not undermine press freedom, freedom of expression or legitimate criticism.
Speaking on the company’s operations, Usoro said Miden Systems Limited was established in 1997 and had evolved from providing safety and equipment maintenance services into a diversified business offering marine services, logistics, offshore and onshore facility upgrades, maintenance and management.
He said the company had expanded its operations to undertake major term contracts in the oil and gas industry, providing services to several organisations, including the Pipelines and Products Marketing Company, Renaissance Africa Energy Company, ExxonMobil, Nigeria LNG Limited, Warri Refinery and Petrochemical Company, Port Harcourt Refinery Company, Addax Petroleum and Nigerian Agip Oil Company.
According to him, the company’s growth has been driven by its commitment to service delivery and the maintenance of long-standing relationships with clients.
Expressing appreciation to the Federal Government and the Nigerian Press Council for the recognition, Usoro said the award reflected the values underpinning the company’s operations.
He reaffirmed Miden Systems Limited’s commitment to ethical conduct, transparency and integrity in its business dealings both in Nigeria and internationally.
“We remain committed to ethical, honest and transparent business transactions at all levels of our operations,” he said.
Earlier, the Executive Secretary and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Press Council, Dr. Dili Ezughah, said the summit was designed to strengthen Nigeria’s media ecosystem, promote responsible journalism and improve the capacity of media professionals to combat misinformation.
Ezughah said the initiative was particularly important as the country prepares for the 2027 general elections, warning that fake news, propaganda and misinformation could undermine democratic processes if left unchecked.
He explained that the summit provided a platform for media practitioners, policymakers, lawmakers, corporate organisations, civil society groups, security agencies and development partners to examine the challenges posed by misinformation and develop practical solutions.
He added that the award ceremony was intended to recognise outstanding contributions to ethical journalism, media leadership, corporate governance and responsible business practices.
Also speaking, the Minister of Defence, General Christopher Musa, represented by his Special Adviser on Intelligence, Musa Likita, described fake news and misinformation as serious threats to national security, democratic governance and peaceful coexistence.
Musa noted that the rapid spread of information through traditional media, digital platforms and social networks had expanded opportunities for public participation and accountability but had also created avenues for manipulating public opinion, inciting hostility and spreading falsehoods.
He warned that fabricated reports, manipulated photographs, deceptive audio recordings and misleading videos could trigger confusion, provoke violence and weaken public confidence in legitimate institutions.
The minister called on media organisations, government institutions and citizens to work together to curb the spread of false information.
Similarly, the Minister of Information and National Orientation, Alhaji Mohammed Idris, represented by Dr. Haruna Suleiman, emphasised the importance of timely, accurate and transparent public communication in preventing speculation and countering false narratives.
Idris urged media organisations to strengthen editorial oversight, verify information sources and promptly correct errors.
He also called on technology companies to address the misuse of their platforms, while advocating increased media and information literacy across schools, universities, communities and public institutions.
According to him, equipping citizens with the skills to question sensational claims, verify sources and recognise manipulated content would help build a more informed society.
The minister reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to credible public communication, responsible information sharing and the promotion of an informed citizenry.
He urged participants to develop practical recommendations that would protect press freedom, strengthen professional standards and encourage cooperation in confronting misinformation.
Other recipients of awards at the summit included Nasarawa State Governor, Abdullahi Sule; Minister of Defence, General Christopher Musa; Minister of Information and National Orientation, Alhaji Mohammed Idris; Barrister Obioma Success Akagburuonye; Senator Emmanuel Bwacha; and Dr. Yakubu Barde, Federal Commissioner for Salaries, Income and Wages, among others.
The summit ended with a call for stronger collaboration among government institutions, media organisations, businesses and citizens to promote credible information, safeguard reputations and strengthen public trust.
Participants stressed the need for collective action to address the growing threat of misinformation while protecting press freedom and professional standards as Nigeria prepares for the 2027 general elections.
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