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KASHIM SHETTIMA AND THE PROVERBIAL LIZARD RESTING ON A WATER KEG.
By: Inuwa Bwala.
They seem to have come a long way, and they are the only two people that know the chord that have kept them bonded.
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima, know very well where they stand in the ongoing permutations against the 2027 elections.
Their coordinated silence and keeping their game plans to their chests have perhaps been the secret why they have not allowed the polity to be overheated.
I give them thumbs up, for maintaining their balance, even in the face of deliberate provocations.
Reading the story about perceived pressures, being mounted on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, to drop his Vice for another, and the attendant suspense from their silence on the matter is a subject for another day.
But the noise being generated reminds me about a story my late mother used to tell me.
It was the story of the mystery egg, which portends death in the family of anybody who sees it.
Whoever sees the egg, whether he or she picks it, or leaves it: one of his or her parents shall die.
This story also aligns with the Nigerian proverb, about the lizard resting on a pot of water.
Attempting to chase the lizard away could break the pot and spill the water, yet allowing it to be could lead to the contamination of the water.
Although it is still at the level of speculations amongst some elements within the ruling All Ptogressives Congress, APC, it is trite that, we disect the likely implications of replacing Vice President, Senator Kashim Shettima, as running mate to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the 2027 Presidential race.
It started as a rumor, but it is gradually gaining prominence in political discourse.
Since the ugly incidence in Gombe during the zonal rally of the APC last year, at which Kashim Shettima’s name and picture were omitted from the list of political leaders of the North East, to the most recent public hearing on the review of the APC constitution in Maiduguri where again Shettimas name and picture were ommitted; one is bound to suspect that, there may be deliberate efforts to force the Vice President out of the system.
Both incidents had sparked outrage from Borno State delegates in Gombe, and by the Speaker of the Borno State House of Assembly, Abdulkarim Lawan, at the Maiduguri meet.
At every turn, prominent Nigerians have warned, that, any attempt to force Shettima out shall be counter productive to the APC’s strategy in the 2027 elections.
As rightfully observed by my senior colleague, Dr Ruben Abatti, in a recent opinion on the subject matter, the reactions to these suspicious developments, highlight Kashim Shettima’s significance, in APC’ calculations in the North East region, ahead of 2027.
To my mind, those trying to force the script on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, are being uncharitable given the fact that; as the highest-ranking politician from the North East region and the attendant roles he has been playing in securing the support of key Northern states for the APC, It may be Tinubu’s costliest political miscalculation, to sacrifice him.
Seemingly ridding on the back of religious balancing, one may be tempted to ask, if Tinubu, who nominated Shettima as his running mate, had found Shettima wanting or working against the intetest of other religions, having worked with him for two and a half years now?
Like him or not, Kashim Shettims has given very good account of himself as a loyal, competent, dependable and a politically suave personality.
Removing Shettima at a time many Nigerians are beggining to accept the Tinubu administration, because of Shettima’s many interventions, could further re-open healing wounds, and his growing fans could turn reluctant, in supporting the APC.
As rightfully observed, the North East, where Shettima holds the aces could be alienated, and his fellow Muslim voters, may look other ways.
There is this wise saying that, “You dont change a winning team in the middle of the game”. Applying this wisdom may save Tinubu in the face of an impending destabilization of the APC’s electoral calculations.
Without prejudice to the political values of those being touted as possible replacements: including, Bishop Matthew Hassan Kukah, Yakubu Dogara, General Christopher Musa, and even Shettimas political godson, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, the odds are still in favour of retaining the old ticket.
Whether necessiated by internal dynamics or fueled by perceived external pressures, from the United States, President Tinubu is safer, working with the devil he now knows.
I make bold to state that, Kashim Shettima weilds an intimidating political credentials, which resonates with many Nigerians, who did not hitherto knew who Shettima is.
Kashim Shettima is politically sagacious, with the capacity to turn around the ship heading for the rocks.
His influence over electorates in the North East cannot be underrated
and if I may suggest maintaining Shettima as President Tinubu’s running mate in 2027, would not only ensure continuity, but also stability, and regional balance, as analyst argue.
While others may argue otherwise, I see Shettima as the proverbial lizard hanging on a pot filled with drinking water. One risks stonning the lizard and break the pot or allow the lizard to spoil the water.
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We’ve Known Each Other Since the 90s; I’m Qualified to Call Him a Scumbag – El-Rufai
Fabian
Former Kaduna State Governor and former Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, has weighed in on the Senate’s decision to reject the inclusion of real-time electronic transmission of election results in the proposed electoral reforms.
Speaking in an interview with Trust TV, El-Rufai was asked to react to reports that some members of his party, the African Democratic Congress (ADC), including Peter Obi, staged a protest at the National Assembly on Monday over the issue. In his response, he stressed that electoral reforms must be approached transparently and without undue external influence.
El-Rufai expressed confidence that the Senate’s electoral committee would eventually recommend the reinstatement of the provision for real-time electronic transmission of results.
He noted that many senators are experienced public officials who have previously served as governors, ministers, and legislators, and are genuinely committed to strengthening Nigeria’s democracy. However, he argued that their efforts are being overshadowed by the actions of the Senate leadership, including Senate President Godswill Akpabio.
According to El-Rufai, the controversy should not be blamed on the Senate as an institution but on its leadership. He alleged that the presiding officer was acting under external pressure and not in line with the collective will of the majority of senators.
He further predicted that when the Senate reconvenes, lawmakers would be forced to unite, resist such pressure from the leadership, and ensure that the proposed reforms are not undermined.
In a strongly worded remark directed at Akpabio, El-Rufai said:
“I do not consider him distinguished. We have known each other since the 90s. He knows how far we’ve been through, and I think I am qualified to call him a scumbag—and he knows why.”
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Electronic Transmission: This Is Just a Warning Protest, We’ll Wait Till Tomorrow – Isaac Fayose
Fabian Apechihin
Businessman and activist Isaac Fayose has described Monday’s protest at the National Assembly complex as only a warning, insisting that more action may follow depending on the outcome of lawmakers’ deliberations.
A cross-section of Nigerians on Monday morning converged on the National Assembly to demand that electronic transmission of election results be made compulsory in Nigeria’s electoral laws.
Although the Senate has issued several clarifications amid reports that it rejected electronic transmission of results, protesters maintained that lawmakers must go further by explicitly inserting the phrase “real-time electronic transmission” into the proposed legislation.
In response to the public outcry, the Senate announced on Sunday that it would hold an emergency plenary session on Tuesday to address the concerns.
Speaking to journalists during the protest, Fayose said the decision taken at the emergency sitting would determine whether the demonstrations would continue.
“We all know what happens in a collation room,” he said. “A collation room is where you soak garri with water at night and by morning it has swollen and turned into eba.
“For Nigerians to be satisfied, what we need is electronic transmission of results. They are already trying to deny it. Let’s wait till tomorrow. This protest is just a warning.”
Fayose also questioned the logic of abandoning electronic transmission after huge investments had been made.
“Something we spent close to a trillion naira to achieve, you now want to throw it away? That’s like taking our money and dumping it in the gutter. It cannot happen,” he added.
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US Judge Issues Final Ultimatum as FBI, DEA Delay Release of Tinubu Records
Fabian Apechihin
A United States federal judge, Beryl A. Howell, has sharply criticised the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) over what she described as deliberate delays in releasing records related to Nigerian President Bola Tinubu.
The documents are being sought through a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request filed in 2022 by transparency advocate Aaron Greenspan, with backing from investigative journalist David Hundeyin. The records are expected to provide details on a narcotics-related case from the early 1990s that led to Tinubu forfeiting $460,000 to the U.S. government—allegations he has consistently denied.
In a ruling delivered on February 3, Judge Howell of the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia rebuked both agencies for repeatedly missing court-ordered deadlines, noting that the case has dragged on for more than three years without substantial progress.
She subsequently imposed new deadlines, warning that further delays would no longer be tolerated.
Greenspan, the founder of transparency platform Plainsite, filed the FOIA request in June 2022. In 2023, the FBI announced it would release approximately 2,500 pages of Tinubu-related records in monthly batches of 500 pages. However, the process stalled after Tinubu opposed the disclosure, requesting a delay pending the outcome of a Nigerian Supreme Court case challenging his election victory. He argued at the time that releasing the records would “adversely affect” him.
Although Judge Howell approved the temporary pause and Tinubu’s election was later upheld, the FBI and DEA continued to seek extensions, further slowing the release of records linked to longstanding allegations of involvement in cocaine trafficking.
Court filings show that the FBI was expected to submit an updated status report in May 2025, but delayed until January 2026, when it sought yet another extension to February—prompting sharp criticism from the court.
“Defendant FBI has produced no records, despite initially anticipating completion of searches by August 1, 2025,” Howell stated, adding that deadlines had been repeatedly shifted with “minimal explanation.”
She further noted that, like the DEA, the FBI had failed to provide a credible timeline for completing the processing and release of the requested documents.
Judge Howell also dismissed the DEA’s justification for withholding documents for more than six months under the guise of inter-agency consultations.
“Defendant DEA has produced some documents … but has repeated the same explanation for six months and four joint status reports concerning twelve remaining pages not yet released,” she said.
The court ordered the DEA to provide Greenspan with a Vaughn index detailing the legal basis for redacting 50 pages and withholding 172 pages of the records. The agency was also directed to submit sworn affidavits explaining, page by page, when the remaining documents were sent for consultation, expected review timelines, and steps taken to expedite the process.
Similarly, the FBI was ordered to file sworn statements accounting for its repeated failure to meet court deadlines and to begin releasing all non-exempt Tinubu-related records. The bureau was instructed to deliver an initial batch within two weeks of January 30, 2026, submit a detailed schedule for releasing the second batch of 500 pages by March 13, and complete full disclosure by June 1, 2026.
Judge Howell further ordered both agencies to file joint status reports every 14 days, starting February 27, until all responsive records have been processed and released.
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