Opinion
Dangote Refinery: What Does NNPCL Want Again?
By Igwe Donald
Nigeria’s oil sector is on the cusp of transformation, with fresh perspectives sparking dynamic discussions that reveal the exciting potential for collaboration between stakeholders and the pursuit of national economic growth. Dangote Refinery’s recent press statement has ignited a lively debate about NNPCL’s visionary strategy. The clash between these two titans has exposed a complex web of corruption, greed, and political maneuvering that threatens to undermine Nigeria’s energy security.
The controversy has gained considerable attention due to the critical role of the Dangote Refinery in shaping the future of Nigeria’s energy industry. Despite claims of patriotic intent, the actions of NNPCL, under Kyari’s leadership, have been perceived by many as counterproductive and even conspiratorial.
Based on recent developments, particularly statements and counterstatements from Dangote and NNPCL, it becomes apparent that the battle is more than a mere industry dispute, it is a power struggle with national and international ramifications. Moreover, Kyari’s involvement in past corrupt dealings and the importation of substandard fuel adds a dark layer to an already convoluted situation.
At the heart of this conflict lies a simple question: what does the NNPCL truly want? The answer, as it turns out, is far from simple.
The Genesis of the Conflict
The inauguration of Dangote’s refinery was a landmark achievement for Nigeria’s energy sector. It was a symbol of hope, promising to end the country’s dependence on fuel importation, reduce foreign exchange strain, and address persistent fuel shortages that have plagued Nigeria for decades. Aliko Dangote’s vision was clear: to build a refinery that could refine over 650,000 barrels of crude oil per day, capable of meeting both local and regional demands for petroleum products.
However, this grand ambition did not sit well with all stakeholders, especially the NNPCL. The company, despite its monopolistic control of the country’s oil resources, has faced significant criticism for inefficiency, corruption, and a failure to provide Nigerians with affordable and consistent access to fuel. Under Mele Kyari’s leadership, these issues have only worsened. Instead of collaborating with Dangote to address the nation’s fuel challenges, NNPCL has repeatedly sabotaged the efforts of the refinery, questioning the quality of its products and attempting to control its pricing structure.
In an attempt to undermine Dangote’s progress, NNPCL began circulating narratives that the refinery would sell fuel at an exorbitant price of N898 per liter, a claim which Dangote promptly dismissed as “misleading and mischievous.” In a press statement, Dangote clarified that the refinery had sold its products to NNPCL in dollars, offering significant savings compared to the imports the NNPCL typically brings in. By doing so, Dangote was not only addressing the country’s fuel needs but also reducing the financial burden on Nigerians by keeping fuel prices reasonable.
NNPC: A Legacy of Exploitation and Its Reluctance to Change
What many don’t know is that, the current drama between NNPCL and Dangote is not an isolated incident but rather a symptom of a much larger problem that has plagued Nigeria for decades: the deep-rooted culture of exploitation within the oil sector. For far too long, NNPC (now NNPCL) has operated as a behemoth of inefficiency and corruption, enabled by a political elite more concerned with personal enrichment than national development.
Established in 1977, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation was intended to ensure that Nigeria could maximize its oil wealth for national development. Instead, the organization has often functioned as a vehicle for personal and political gain, mired in scandals involving missing funds, corrupt contracts, and fraudulent deals with foreign oil companies.
The current leadership under Mele Kyari is a continuation of this legacy. While Kyari portrays himself as a reformist, his actions suggest otherwise. His involvement in questionable fuel importation deals, particularly from Malta, is not just a footnote in his career but a key indicator of his intentions. His decisions, both public and behind closed doors, appear designed to maintain the status quo that benefits a select few while keeping the majority of Nigerians in a perpetual state of fuel scarcity, high prices, and dependence on foreign products.
NNPCL’s reluctance to embrace local refining capabilities, as demonstrated in its antagonism toward Dangote Refinery, suggests that the corporation is not interested in Nigeria becoming self-sufficient in fuel production. Instead, it seeks to retain its grip on the industry, using crude oil sales as leverage while engaging in backdoor dealings with international partners who continue to siphon Nigeria’s wealth abroad.
Mele Kyari and the Maltese Syndicate of Corruption
To fully grasp the depths of the ongoing conflict, one must look into the murky dealings of Mele Kyari and his long history of involvement in corrupt activities. Kyari has been repeatedly fingered in cases of importing substandard fuel into Nigeria. These dealings, often orchestrated through Malta-based syndicates with refineries abroad, have cost Nigeria billions in revenue while exacerbating the country’s energy crisis.
Kyari’s involvement in these syndicates points to a larger conspiracy designed to undermine local refining efforts, such as Dangote’s, and maintain Nigeria’s dependence on foreign fuel imports. The motive is clear: Kyari and his foreign partners stand to profit enormously from keeping Nigeria trapped in a cycle of importation, even as local refineries remain underutilized or sabotaged.
The Dangote Refinery, in this context, represents an existential threat to Kyari’s interests. By producing fuel locally at a fraction of the cost of imported fuel, Dangote’s refinery could potentially collapse the entire importation scheme, cutting off the illicit profits that Kyari and his associates have long enjoyed. This explains the relentless efforts to discredit Dangote’s refinery, first by questioning its quality and later by attempting to manipulate its pricing.
Dangote’s Fight for Transparency and the Battle for Control
Faced with NNPCL’s calculated sabotage, Dangote launched a counteroffensive, exposing the corporation’s true intentions. In a series of media appearances, Dangote debunked the claims of substandard products by presenting evidence of his refinery’s superior quality compared to the imported fuels that Nigerians had long been forced to endure. By making his case publicly and transparently, Dangote effectively dismantled the quality-based narrative being pushed by NNPCL.
However, this was only the beginning. Realizing that they could not win the battle over quality, Kyari and NNPCL shifted focus to pricing. Their strategy was simple: manipulate the public into believing that Dangote’s refinery would price its products excessively high, thereby allowing NNPCL and other foreign marketers to raise their own prices to exorbitant levels, all while blaming Dangote for the hikes and become frustrated to give up.
The hypocrisy in this approach is glaring. NNPCL, which sells crude oil to Dangote’s refinery just as it does to foreign oil companies, has no business controlling the refinery’s pricing. Yet, in a blatant display of power, the corporation demanded that it would set the price at which Dangote could sell his fuel. This action of theirs has is an absurd situation, but one that reveals NNPCL’s deeper motives: to maintain control over the pricing of fuel in Nigeria and keep Dangote’s refinery from offering cheaper, more accessible alternatives to the public.
The International Implications: Challenging the Global Oil Cartel
This battle between Dangote and NNPCL has obviously not gone unnoticed by the global oil industry. For decades, international oil companies have profited from Nigeria’s dependence on imported fuel, with major deals brokered between Africa and Europe that ensure these companies’ continued dominance over the continent’s energy sector. The success of Dangote’s refinery, however, threatens to disrupt this dynamic.
By producing high-quality fuel at a lower cost, Dangote’s refinery could potentially redirect the flow of oil trade in Africa. Countries with weak or devalued currencies, which currently struggle to buy oil in dollars, would find a more affordable option in Nigeria’s locally refined products. This would not only boost Nigeria’s influence in the African oil market but also diminish the power of European oil companies that have long held a stranglehold on the continent’s resources.
This potential shift in the oil trade has likely played a role in the aggressive stance taken by NNPCL and its foreign partners. As the refinery begins operations, there is a palpable sense of urgency among those who stand to lose the most from its success. Kyari’s alliance with these foreign powers, which include oil marketers and refinery owners in places like Malta, underscores the extent to which Nigeria’s energy future is being shaped by external forces with little regard for the country’s best interests.
The Future of Nigeria’s Energy Sector
In any society where corruption reigns unchecked, the role of the public becomes crucial. The ongoing feud between NNPCL and Dangote has made it clear that corporate power and government influence can often work hand in hand to distort the truth and manipulate public perception. This is why patriotic Nigerians must play a central role in demanding transparency and holding our leaders accountable.
As the battle between Dangote and NNPCL continues to unfold, it is clear that the stakes are incredibly high. At the heart of the conflict is not just the future of Nigeria’s energy sector but the broader question of who will salvage the country’s economic destiny. For decades, Nigeria has been held back by corrupt leaders and foreign interests who have exploited its resources for personal gain. Dangote’s refinery represents a challenge to this status quo, offering a vision of an independent Nigeria that can provide for its own energy needs without relying on foreign imports.
While Dangote’s refinery promises a solution to the decades-long fuel crisis, its survival depends on more than just its operational success. It depends on the will of the Nigerian people to recognize the larger forces at play and to stand up against the manipulations of entities like NNPCL. Public pressure has already shown its power—Dangote’s media campaign successfully exposed NNPCL’s dubious tactics and forced them to retract their claims. This is a victory for transparency, but it must be the first of many.
Yet, as NNPCL’s actions have shown, there are powerful forces determined to prevent this vision from becoming a reality. Mele Kyari’s sinister motives, driven by a desire to maintain control over Nigeria’s oil industry and protect the illicit profits of his foreign allies, have led to a concerted effort to sabotage the Dangote Refinery and undermine its potential benefits for the Nigerian people.
In the face of these challenges, Dangote’s determination to fight back offers a glimmer of hope. His willingness to engage the public, expose NNPCL’s corruption, and champion the cause of transparency and accountability sets him apart from the many business and political leaders who have allowed Nigeria’s energy sector to be exploited for decades.
The outcome of this battle is far from certain. However, one thing is clear to all: Nigeria stands at a critical crossroads. The decisions made in the coming months will determine whether the country can finally break free from the chains of oil dependency and corruption or whether it will remain trapped in a cycle of exploitation, benefiting a few at the expense of the many. The Dangote Refinery holds the key to unlocking a brighter future, but only if it can overcome the formidable obstacles placed in its path by those who seek to maintain the status quo.
A Call for Institutional Reform and Accountability
The NNPCL-Dangote conflict highlights the urgent need for institutional reform in Nigeria’s oil sector. As long as entities like NNPCL are allowed to operate with impunity, prioritizing personal gain over national interest, Nigeria’s energy sector will remain dysfunctional. Reforming NNPCL will require more than just leadership changes, it will require a complete overhaul of its operational structure, with a focus on transparency, accountability, and efficiency.
At this point, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu must step in, he must rescue Nigeria from the hands of devourers. Mr President must ensure that this reform must start with strengthening regulatory bodies tasked with overseeing the oil sector. These bodies must be empowered to hold NNPCL and other players accountable, ensuring that they operate in the best interest of the Nigerian people. Additionally, there must be stricter penalties for corruption within the industry, with real consequences for those who engage in illicit activities like fuel importation scams and price manipulation.
Furthermore, Nigeria must develop a robust framework for supporting local refining efforts. This includes providing incentives for other private investors to follow in Dangote’s footsteps, fostering competition, and ensuring that no single entity—whether NNPCL or Dangote—holds a monopoly over the country’s oil resources. A diversIfied and competitive oil sector is key to ensuring that Nigeria can meet its energy needs while protecting consumers from price gouging and supply shortages.
Conclusion
As this reality keeps unfolding, Nigerians must brace themselves for the challenges that lie ahead. The battle between Dangote and NNPCL is far from over, and the outcome will have profound implications for the country’s future. Mele Kyari’s corrupt dealings, his collusion with foreign oil marketers, and his attempts to sabotage Dangote’s refinery all point to a deeper crisis within Nigeria’s oil sector.
Yet, despite these challenges, there is reason to hope. Dangote’s refinery represents a new beginning, a chance for Nigeria to take control of its own energy future and end the cycle of dependence and exploitation that has held it back for so long. However, achieving this goal will require vigilance, transparency, and a willingness to confront the powerful interests that seek to maintain their grip on Nigeria’s oil industry.
In the coming months, as fuel prices shift and the propaganda war intensifies, Nigerians must remember one thing: the future of their country is in their hands. If they stand by Dangote’s vision for a self-sufficient Nigeria, they can reclaim control over their energy destiny. If they allow NNPCL’s manipulations to succeed, the cycle of dependency and exploitation will continue. The choice is clear, but the road ahead is fraught with challenges. The rainy season is indeed upon us—whether it brings renewal or devastation depends on the actions taken today.
Nigerians must remain vigilant as fuel prices begin to fluctuate and as NNPCL’s propaganda continues to spread. Informed citizens can resist the temptation to accept false narratives at face value and must seek out the truth behind the machinations of the oil industry. Furthermore, Nigerians should advocate for stronger regulatory mechanisms that prevent corporate sabotage, while also pushing for more significant oversight of the oil sector to prevent future exploitation by foreign interests and corrupt officials.
The path forward will not be easy, but it is clear that the stakes are too high for inaction. Nigerians must demand more from their leaders and corporations. They must hold Mele Kyari and NNPCL accountable for their actions and insist on a future where Nigeria’s oil resources benefit the many, and not the few. As Dangote’s refinery begins production, the hope is that it will usher in a new era of energy independence and prosperity for Nigeria. But this hope will only be realized if the forces of corruption and exploitation are confronted head-on and defeated.
Right now, the future of Nigeria’s energy sector hangs in the balance. It is imperative that the government intervene to put an end to the corrupt practices of the NNPCL and ensure that Dangote Refinery is allowed to operate freely.
By doing so, Nigeria can take a significant step towards a brighter future, one in which its citizens have access to affordable, reliable energy. The stakes are high, but the rewards are even greater.
Donald is a public affairs analyst and wrote this piece from Agege, Lagos State
Opinion
Femi Otedola, the Alleged serial business hijacker, using First Bank loans to steal other people’s businesses
The Chairman of First Bank, Mr. Femi Otedola is presently facing huge criticism over his alleged usual ways to use bank loans to take over businesses of other people.
This is coming just as perceived hidden interests of a prominent lawyer, Mr. Koku whose dual roles in the Nestoil and FBNQuest case, which now threatens the integrity of the Nigeria Oil sector, have been unmasked by this newspaper.
During an exclusive investigation by Our correspondent over the alleged conflict of interest and potential
Regulatory capture of the NUPRC, in Nestoil and Neconde’s Legal
Battle with FBN Quest and First Trustees, it was gathered that in the corridors of Nigeria’s petroleum industry, a storm that could reshape perceptions of justice, transparency, and regulatory independence at the apex of the upstream sector is brewing.
Through months of document review and interviews with industry insiders,
told Our correspondent in its investigation uncovered troubling evidence that a top legal practitioner is at the heart of a clash between public interest and private gain, raising fresh questions about conflicts of interest and the spectre of regulatory capture.
Findings showed that the wrangle between Neconde Energy Limited, Nestoil Limited, and a consortium of financial institutions represented by FBN Quest Merchant Bank Limited and
First Trustees Limited, resembles a typical high-value debt dispute but, dig deeper and a more intricate web emerged.
This investigation revealed that Babajide Koku SAN, a personal lawyer to Mr. Femi Otedola, the chairman of First Bank, has simultaneously served as legal counsel for both the FBN Parties and the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) in lawsuits
that could determine the fate of critical national oil assets.
This dual representation, spanning Suit No: FHC/L/CS/2127/2025 in Lagos and Suit No: FHC/ABJ/CS/2369/2025 in Abuja, goes far beyond a mere procedural oversight as legal documents obtained by this newspaper confirmed that Koku’s name appears on court filings for
multiple parties with directly competing interests, fuelling allegations that regulatory impartiality may be at risk.
According to legal experts who spoke with Our correspondent, the implications echo far beyond the courtroom—potentially shaking the very foundations of the sector’s governance
Meanwhile, our investigation reconstructed the timeline of this controversy, beginning on 20 October
2025, when FBN Parties, represented by Koku, SAN, sued Nestoil and Neconde over an alleged $1billion debt. But even before the gavel fell, FBN Trustees had petitioned the NUPRC on 9 September 2025, seeking consent to register a second charge over Oil Mining Lease (OML) 42, an asset in which Neconde holds a substantial stake.
It was also gathered that the NUPRC signalled its readiness
to approve the charge, prompting Neconde, wary of a hostile takeover, to launch its own legal offensive on 6 November 2025.
“When the NUPRC responded to Neconde’s lawsuit, challenging the validity of the very consent it had given, it too appeared in court represented by Koku” a document at the disposal of this newspaper stated..
Meanwhile, multiple sources confirmed to Our correspondent that Koku, SAN was present for both the FBN Parties and the regulator, a move that has left industry players and legal watchdogs questioning whether the independence of
Nigeria’s upstream regulator may have been fatally compromised.
Experts that were interviewed by Our correspondent warned that such brazen dual representation is more than a
technical breach of legal ethics, it is a flashing red light for regulatory capture, where public agencies risk being co-opted by the very entities they are meant to police.
One concerned stakeholder who spoke under the condition of anonymity described this as “akin to letting the fox guard the henhouse”, noting that the
same lawyer advancing private creditors’ interests is now shaping the regulator’s legal defence.
“The stakes are monumental: should NUPRC’s consent to FBN Trustees be upheld, it could set a perilous precedent, enabling further encroachment by powerful financiers at the expense of due process and fair regulatory oversight” he added.
Also, critics alleged that Koku’s close
affiliations with major stakeholders in the FBN entities call into question the motives behind the legal manoeuvring, stoking speculation about a well-orchestrated asset grab under the
veneer of judicial process.
Another expert told this newspaper state that lawyers must not act for conflicting interests without full, informed consent. He queried: “Assuming that all necessary disclosures have been made, is it appropriate for the NUPRC to appoint legal representatives who are currently acting on behalf of an interested party in the dispute.
“Furthermore, is it advisable for FBN Trustees to permit its retained counsel to also represent the NUPRC in litigation where FBN Trustees has a financial interest in the outcome”
Senior Nigeria legal analysts who offered to grant interviews on this issue cautioned that Koku’s actions could trigger motions for disqualification and expose both NUPRC and the FBN Parties to damaging reputational
fallout.
Meanwhile, some of the legal experts have called for an urgent review of how regulators appoint external counsel,
warning that public trust in Nigeria’s oil industry hangs in the balance.
One of them added that: “For Koku, the risks are professional as well as reputational, with the possibility of regulatory scrutiny or even sanctions if formal complaints are lodged, particularly where formal disclosures were not made and subsequent consent of the NUPRC obtained.
“For NUPRC, the crisis raises uncomfortable questions about its commitment to unbiased oversight and
whether it can withstand the corrosive influence of well-connected private interests”
Speaking on investor confidence which they said is already on the Line, legal experts noted that the fallout is already being felt beyond the courtroom.
However, Oil Industry veterans who spoke with Our correspondent noted that
uncertainty and perceptions of impropriety could scare off much-needed investment from
an already fragile upstream sector.
“Without transparency and clear ethical boundaries, you can’t have a credible investment climate,” one executive told Our correspondent, calling for sweeping reforms and tougher frameworks to safeguard regulatory processes from undue interference.
Legal experts are urging the government to overhaul consent procedures and demand full transparency in all dealings between regulators and their outside advisers.
Our correspondent gathered further that as the lawsuits wind their way through Nigeria’s federal courts, the spotlight remains fixed on Babajide Koku SAN, the NUPRC, and the banks pulling the strings behind the scenes.
It was also gathered that the case has become a litmus test for transparency, legal ethics, and the resilience of Nigeria’s regulatory institutions, and the final outcome may not only decide who controls a lucrative oil
lease but could also set a lasting benchmark for the country’s commitment to fairness and
the rule of law.
“In a sector too often shrouded in secrecy, only genuine accountability and unwavering ethical standards can restore faith in those entrusted with Nigeria’s most precious resources” another industry expert noted.
In a related development, Chairman of First Bank Holding, Mr. Femi Otedola has been accused of taking over businesses of First bank customers under the guise of debt default with the help of some corrupt judges.
According to finding, Otedola, as a result of his greed and love for other people’s business and properties would hide under the guise of giving loans to business owners to develop their businesses, inflate the loans, hide their loan documents and use the court to take over such businesses.
Apart from Nestoil/Neconde which would have been his latest victim if not for the vigilance of the legal team of Dr. Ernest Azudialu-Obiejesi, the chairman of First Bank had used the FBNQuest Merchant Bank Limited to fraudulently hijack several firms from their original owners.
However, officials of Neconde have lamented that for over three years, First bank has refused to release bank statements to the company.
The company alleged in several reports that First Bank has refused to provide bank statements, reconciliation documents, or loan records Nestoil which they need to use to verify whether any debt actually exists.
There are instances of Sahara Group and General Hydrocarbon which Otedola wickedly and cunningly used the loans which his bank gave to those two companies to hijack their lucrative businesses with the help of some corrupt judges.
Our correspondent’s independent investigation showed that Mr. Femi Otedola had earlier this year approached Neconde requesting to buy some 16 percent stake in the juicy Oml42 oil block.
For fears of what he has done to Sahara Group and General Hydrocarbon in the past, Otedola’s request was bluntly rejected by Neconde, and this led to First bank to drag Nestoil and Neconde in aggressive move to take over OML 42, citing an alleged $1billion dollar unverified debt.
“How can we owe what we cannot see?”
We cannot verify any debt because First Bank will not release the very documents that would confirm or disprove their claim.” one of the officials of Nestoil told this newspaper, insisting that without those statements, the bank’s attempts to enforce debt recovery actions amount to economic ambush and economic gangsterism.
Meanwhile, an expert in the Nigerian Petroleum business told Our correspondent that: “At the centre of the conflict is OML 42—one of the most promising onshore blocks in the Niger Delta Basin. Industry analysts estimate that the licence could generate hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue over its lifespan. At present OML42 accounts for approximately 5% of Nigeria’s crude oil production.
“There are claims that the subsidiaries of First Bank Holding under the Chairmanship of Mr Femi Otedola has shown “unusual, excessive interest” in taking over the OML42 through court orders, ex parte motions, and aggressive debt-recovery procedures that the company says lack documentary justification.
“It has become clear that the bank’s objective is not repayment—it is acquisition,”
Also, a legal expert who spoke with Our correspondent during our investigation said that the refusal of First bank to release bank statements, if true, raises serious questions about transparency and the integrity of the bank’s claims, saying that a creditor refusing to provide account statements is highly irregular.
He added that any enforcement action without documentary clarity could be challenged as predatory or abusive.
Opinion
THE ONE BILLION NAIRA DONATION TO THE AREWA CONSULTATIVE FORUM BY GEN.TY DANJUMMA
During the launch of an endowment fund to mark the Arewa Consultative Forum’s (ACF) silver jubilee, General T. Y. Danjuma donated a hefty sum of one billion naira. The gesture by the Takum-born general has rekindled what could be described as a “T.Y. phenomenon,” and signals renewed prospects for unity in the North and, indeed, Nigeria. T.Y., as he is fondly called, represents different things to different people: a consummate general, business titan, opinion leader, and large-hearted philanthropist.
To others, he remains an enigma — a recluse of few but weighty words, a patriot who took enormous risks in shaping Nigeria. Above all, he is viewed as a man of uncommon balance, especially in the delicate realm of Nigeria’s military politics. He was the one who allegedly relinquished an opportunity to become Head of State in the aftermath of the 1976 coup d’état — all in the interest of fairness and national balance.
After Murtala Muhammed’s assassination, Olusegun Obasanjo, then second-in-command, was to take over. Danjuma felt it proper and just to retain that arrangement. He also ceded the position of Chief of Staff, Supreme Headquarters, to a junior colleague, Shehu Musa Yar’Adua, who was then a Lt.Colonel, to ensure the top hierarchy reflected the country’s ethno-religious diversity. He maintained his role as Chief of Army Staff until the regime exited in 1979. It was during this period that he delivered his now-famous terse instruction to Ibrahim Babangida during the Dimka-led coup attempt: “Go and flush him out. I didn’t ask you to negotiate.” This came when IBB attempted to explain certain issues to him.
He was also alleged to have exhibited similar decisiveness during the counter-coup by northern officers — the so-called “rematch” — that toppled the Balewa government in July 1966. T.Y.’s last major public service role was as Minister of Defence under President Olusegun Obasanjo between 1999 and 2003 — a government he helped bring about as part of national healing after the annulment of the June 12 election believed to be won by M. K. O. Abiola.
Afterwards, T.Y. transitioned fully into private business and excelled. Today, he ranks among the biggest players in Nigeria’s oil and gas industry and has consistently featured among Forbes’ wealthiest Nigerians. His NAL-Comet Group, a shipping enterprise, and South Atlantic Petroleum Limited remain influential in the private sector. As part of his corporate social responsibility and personal philosophy of giving back, the T.Y. Danjuma Foundation was established. It has since become a major philanthropic force, providing grants and assistance to thousands of less privileged Nigerians.
At 86 (born in 1938), T.Y. has seen it all — veni, vidi, vici: he came, he saw, and he conquered. After a tumultuous military career, he entered the business world seamlessly. Today, he stands as an elder statesman whose voice carries enormous weight. His periodic interventions on national issues — especially security — are blunt, prophetic, and often vindicated by unfolding events.
As far back as 2012, he described the activities of Boko Haram, then mainly restricted to Borno and Yobe, as “war.” Authorities in those states refuted him. Younger voices mocked him. The revered General Mamman Shuwa — his contemporary — was even persuaded to publicly rebut Danjuma’s claims. Ironically, it was Boko Haram that later assassinated Shuwa on 2 November 2012 in Maiduguri.
A few years later, T.Y. assessed the escalating armed herder–farmer conflict in Taraba and the wider Middle Belt and warned communities to defend themselves, including by procuring arms — just as terrorists were doing. He alleged collusion within the security forces and warned of an unfolding anarchy. That was in 2018. The government and military high command issued strong rebuttals. Yet, his predictions have materialised almost exactly as he feared.
Today, several states in the Northwest — including Sokoto, Zamfara, Kebbi, Katsina, and parts of Kaduna and Niger — are forming and equipping vigilante volunteers to fight terrorists. The Federal Government has directed states to establish “forest rangers.” Results have been mixed. Some communities have even entered “peace agreements” with bandits to survive — with limited success. It is believed that in Katsina, about 20 of the 34 LGAs remain under severe threat. Numerous states have been forced to shut schools owing to renewed abductions. Again, T.Y.’s warnings stand vindicated.
Ordinarily, the General should be held in the highest esteem across the North — and he is, to a large extent. Yet he has not been spared the region’s ethno-religious tensions. The relationship between followers of Islam and Christianity in Northern Nigeria has long been fraught. As a Christian, T.Y. has been accused by some of not playing the unifying role that destiny appears to have placed upon him, especially in his later years.
He is suspected by some of quietly supporting certain divisive positions of the Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) — much in the same way some Muslim elites support their own sectarian groups. Others point to his alleged closeness to aspects of the Middle Belt Forum’s agenda that may be perceived as unfavourable to northern cohesion. For some sections of the North, these stances fall below his towering national stature.
The “disappointment” many express arises from reverence. To them, his perceived tilt toward ethno-religious politics diminishes the prestige of his ancient Kwararrafah heritage. The Kwararrafah Confederacy was one of the great indigenous polities of the Nigerian savannah — rivalling the Hausa city-states and Kanem-Bornu in the 14th century.
In modern Nigeria, no ethnic group is more broadly Nigerian — or more inherently northern — than the Kwararrafah and its famous son, Danjumma. Naturally, the North should have been T.Y.’s cultural and historical home, ahead of many others. His one-billion-naira gesture to the ACF would not only dispels many of the suspicions once cast upon him but to re-cement his place as one of the profound and bonafide Northern voices.
Many others may have made similar donations and even more, but the General’s own carries greater symbolism and significance.It affirms that he has both the North, a region currently under serious stress, and Nigeria, at heart. The T.Y. phenomenon is back — and in grand style. May the General live long.
A. G. Abubakar
agbarewa@gmail.com
Opinion
NNAMDI KANU IS GOOD RIDDANCE TO BAD RUBBISH
By Charles Nnaebuka, PhD
Nnamdi Kanu’s conviction and sentencing to life in prison marks not just the end of a chapter in Nigeria’s uneasy secessionist saga but a vindication of the view that his brand of defiance was not freedom-fighting but a toxic mix of arrogance, recklessness and a willful courting of violence. He is, in the starkest sense, a good riddance to bad rubbish.
To those who really know him, Nnamdi Kanu was never just a dissident. He was a swaggering provocateur whose rise was built on historical grievance, his own myth-making and a kind of hubris that finally destroyed him.
Born in 1967 in Nigeria’s southeast, Kanu came of age in a region haunted by the spectre of Biafra, the short-lived secessionist state that sparked a civil war. That war killed more than one million people and its memory became the fuel for Kanu’s long, volatile evolution. For years, Kanu wrapped his separatist ambitions in the language of self-determination, historical injustice and opportunism. He spoke of Biafra not merely as a lost dream but as a moral imperative.
In that regard, he launched Radio Biafra around 2009 from London broadcasting not just a separatist message, but a combative, almost messianic call: the Igbo people would no longer tolerate their status at the mercy of a Nigerian state they saw supposedly as corrupt, oppressive and irredeemable.
Riding on that faulty illusion, he formed the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) (which would later be proscribed a terrorist group by the courts due to violent activities), turning a radio station into a movement.
Over time he hardened his message, daring to turn resistance into an existential fight. By exploiting the ignorance of many in the Southeast, he mobilised thousands via Radio Biafra, calling on his followers to sit at home, to resist, to hate the Nigerian state. But that lofty narrative belied something more brittle: a man intoxicated by his own importance, certain that his convictions placed him above accountability. His antecedents, both real and self-styled laid the groundwork: Kanu tapped into deep-seated Igbo frustration, historical trauma and a longing for self-determination.
But rather than moderate or negotiate, he doubled down and saw himself not just as a leader, but as the voice of a people allegedly long wronged and his role rapidly grew into something grandiose. He did not just agitate for change, he believed he was indispensable to it.
When he was first arrested in 2015 on treason charges, he seemed to relish the spotlight. But after a dramatic military raid on his home in 2017, he fled while on bail and his disappearance only elevated his status among his followers. In 2021, he was re-arrested in Kenya and controversially extradited back to Nigeria, moves he would later decry as illegitimate and part of an alleged broader conspiracy against him.
However, when the court finally delivered its judgment, Justice James Omotosho did not mince words. He described Kanu’s behavior during the trial as “arrogant, cocky, and full of himself,” a man who refused to recognize the limits of his power. Kanu’s pride was not just in his speech, it was in his refusal to engage with the court’s processes. As self style activist and freedom fighter ala Obafemi Awolowo, Nelson Mandela and Martin Lurther King, he dismissed legal representation, challenged the court’s jurisdiction and eventually refused to mount any defense. That obstinacy amounts to more than ideological posturing but a strategic miscalculation, a self-inflicted wound.
Kanu’s charges were serious. The court found him guilty on seven counts related to terrorism. Prosecutors presented evidence that his broadcasts on Radio Biafra were not mere political speech, but calls to violence, that he incited attacks, gave instructions related to bomb-making and directed “sit-at-home” orders in the Southeast that paralysed movement and threatened and ended innocent lives of those who defied his orders. His orders and style infringed on the rights of citizens. Kanu’s violent nature is not a footnote but a raging reality: media reports tie his sit-at-home orders to almost a thousand deaths in the Southeast between 2021 and 2025, as armed actors enforcing those orders killed civilians and clashed with security forces. In court, a key witness testified that Kanu’s broadcasts directed his followers to “deal decisively” with security operatives, estimating 170 to 200 killed in attacks allegedly tied to his Eastern Security Network (ESN). Another prosecution witness accused ESN fighters of grotesque acts, claiming they desired to bury a dead member with “2,000 human heads” and used human flesh in ritualistic practices. This is not mere agitation, it is the architecture of terror.
Notably, the judge pointed out that by ordering people to stay home, Kanu violated their freedom of movement and that he lacked any constitutional basis to demand a people’s shutdown the way he did.
Even more stark, during the trial, the court admitted a video recorded statement by Kanu from 2015, in which he denied any link to violence, yet security operatives testified they had evidence to the contrary. There were suitcases seized at his arrest containing broadcasting equipment, suggesting his “struggle” was anchored in real world operations, not just rhetoric.
During sentencing, the judge could have imposed the death penalty, but opted for life imprisonment, citing global opposition to capital punishment and invoking mercy. That mercy came despite what the judge described as Kanu’s ongoing “tendency of violence” even in court. In fact, at one point, he was ejected for unruly behaviour.
What finally brought Kanu down was not just the state or the weight of the charges; it was his own hubris which made him a tragic hero. He became a man consumed by own unbridled pride and error of judgment. As typical, he was a man who thundered at crowds, who believed his cause justified every excess, but who could not or would not respect the formal structures of law when they turned against him. He may have projected an image of invincibility, but in reality, he built his power on a foundation of confrontation without compromise.
Kanu’s downfall is human, not mythic. He was not a martyr with clean hands; he was a provocateur who toyed with fire until it burned him. He refused to repent, refused to adapt, refused to play by any rules but his own. And now, at the end, justice has caught up. His conviction is more than a legal outcome. It is a warning: no matter how righteous a cause, defiance without discipline, conviction without humility, arrogance without accountability, that’s a recipe for ruin. A man who cast himself as a liberator became undone by his own arrogance. His cause may have been rooted in historical injustice, but the method, the refusal to bend or compromise, the constant drama, all of it built a tower whose base was too narrow. And in this case, the ruin is complete. He became the provebial grasshopper that went to the grave with the corpse simply because he lacked tact, wisdom and discernment. Kanu is indeed a good riddance to bad rubbish.
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